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The results indicated that mechanical energy storage systems, namely PHS and CAES, are still the most cost-efficient options for bulk energy storage. PHS and CAES approximately add 54 and 71 €/MWh respectively, to the cost of charging power. The project׳s environmental permitting costs and contingency may increase the costs, however.
In terms of TCC (total capital cost), underground CAES (with 890 €/kW) offers the most economical alternative for bulk energy storage, while SMES and SCES are the cheapest options in power quality applications. However, the cost data for these electro-magnetic EES systems are rather limited and for small-scale applications.
They are priced according to five different power ratings to provide a relevant system comparison and a more precise estimate. The power rating of an energy storage system impacts system pricing, where larger systems are typically lower in cost (on a $/kWh basis) than smaller ones due to volume purchasing, etc.
Non-battery systems, on the other hand, range considerably more depending on duration. Looking at 100 MW systems, at a 2-hour duration, gravity-based energy storage is estimated to be over $1,100/kWh but drops to approximately $200/kWh at 100 hours.
By definition, the projections follow the same trajectories as the normalized cost values. Storage costs are $147/kWh, $234/kWh, and $339/kWh in 2035 and $108/kWh, $178/kWh, and $307/kWh in 2050. Costs for each year and each trajectory are included in the Appendix, including costs for years after 2050. Figure 4.
The round-trip efficiency is chosen to be 85%, which is well aligned with published values. Battery storage costs have evolved rapidly over the past several years, necessitating an update to storage cost projections used in long-term planning models and other activities.
Battery storage costs have evolved rapidly over the past several years, necessitating an update to storage cost projections used in long-term planning models and other activities. This work documents the development of these projections, which are based on recent publications of storage costs.
The suite of publications demonstrates wide variation in projected cost reductions for battery storage over time. Figure ES-1 shows the suite of projected cost reductions (on a normalized basis) collected from the literature (shown in gray) as well as the low, mid, and high cost projections developed in this work (shown in black).
The representative residential PV system (RPV) for 2024 has a rating of 8 kW dc (the sum of the system's module ratings). Each module has an area (with frame) of 1.9 m 2 and a rated power of 400 watts, corresponding to an efficiency of 21.1%.
The total cost over the service life of the system is amortized to give a levelized cost per year. In the PV System Cost Model (PVSCM), the owner's overnight capital expense (cash cost) for an installed PV system is divided into eight categories, which are the same for the utility-scale, commercial, and residential PV market segments:
The representative commercial PV system for 2024 is an agrivoltaics system (APV) designed for land that is also used for grazing sheep. The system has a power rating of 3 MW dc (the sum of the system's module ratings). Each module has an area (with frame) of 2.57 m 2 and a rated power of 530 watts, corresponding to an efficiency of 20.6%.
When supplied with an energy storage system (ESS), that ESS is comprised of 80 pad-mounted lithium-ion battery cabinets, each with an energy storage capacity of 3 MWh for a total of 240 MWh of storage. The ESS cabinet includes a bidirectional inverter rated at 750 kW ac (four-hour discharge rate) for a total of 60 MW ac.
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